← GRAND ARCHIVE INDONESIA REGIONAL ABYSSAL HEAVEN SEASON by IKI CARDSHOP
Water NeosTier 2
at GRAND ARCHIVE INDONESIA REGIONAL ABYSSAL HEAVEN SEASON by IKI CARDSHOP
decks
2
(3.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
4-6-2
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.6%
avg ELO -2.3 per match
expected value
47.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1296
· median 1296
· range 1229–1364
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1032
Q1 1145
Q3 1357
1508
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 13.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.5% | +14.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Fire Exia | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tonoris | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogue | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diao Chan | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Wind Beast | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 1.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.7 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 1.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
